Violence, Chaos, and Anarchy -- Oh My!

[mmm4444bot]

Here's a trending issue taken from msn.com:

Warning: US scientist predicts utter chaos, anarchy in 2020

The year 2020 looks like a good time to take a long vacation — it’s going to be complete anarchy. That’s according to cliodynamics, a mathematical formula devised by historian Peter Turchin of the University of Connecticut. Turchin’s theory indicates a cycle of political instability that results in widespread violence every 50 years, highlighting economic disparity in 1870, race riots around 1920 and high-profile assassinations and domestic violence in 1970 as previous examples. Which means the next episode of mass violence is right on schedule for, oh, roughly eight years from now. Many historians remain skeptical, but we’re not taking any chances. We’ve got our trip to Greenland already planned.

Historians devising mathematical formulas, eh?

By the way, Greenland will be under water in 2020.
​

 

[mmm4444bot]

:lol:

 

[wjm11]

Here's a trending issue taken from msn.com:

Warning: US scientist predicts utter chaos, anarchy in 2020

The year 2020 looks like a good time to take a long vacation — it’s going to be complete anarchy. That’s according to cliodynamics, a mathematical formula devised by historian Peter Turchin of the University of Connecticut. Turchin’s theory indicates a cycle of political instability that results in widespread violence every 50 years, highlighting economic disparity in 1870, race riots around 1920 and high-profile assassinations and domestic violence in 1970 as previous examples. Which means the next episode of mass violence is right on schedule for, oh, roughly eight years from now. Many historians remain skeptical, but we’re not taking any chances. We’ve got our trip to Greenland already planned.

Historians devising mathematical formulas, eh?

By the way, Greenland will be under water in 2020.
​

Cliodynamics??? Credit should be given to sci-fi author Isaac Asimov for his Foundation novels (originally a trilogy but later expanded) in which: "mathematician Hari Seldon spent his life developing a branch of mathematics known as psychohistory, a concept of mathematical sociology (analogous to mathematical physics). Using the laws of mass action, it can predict the future..."

(quote from Wikipedia)

The original trilogy was written in the early 1950s.

 

[mmm4444bot]

Cliodynamics??? Credit should be given to sci-fi author Isaac Asimov for his Foundation novels

Exactly. (Asimov was a deep thinker.)

I have a hard time discerning distinctions, when I read about some of these things.

Rhetorical: Is mass action a type of group-think mentality, or is it the other way around?

I spent little time reading about Cliodynamics because my gut was too soon concerned about assumption:fact ratios.

It's hard for me to stay motivated, when listening to a performance in which I can't really tap my toe to anything. :cool:

 

[mmm4444bot]

Okay -- here's a twist.

How about interpreting universal physics from an evolutionary standpoint? That is, the physical properties we observe today have evolved over time through some type of process analogous to natural selection in the biological sciences.

More of the assumptions in that discussion make sense or seem plausible, to me.

I can tap my toe to it. :cool:

 

[mmm4444bot]

[Namier] said that history develops the historical sense, which is the sense of what is unlikely to happen.

I like it.

This is very interesting, from a human-psyche point-of-view.