Probability

thatgirl

New member
Joined
Jan 8, 2009
Messages
2
Suppose that 5% of the items produced by a factory are defective. If 10 items are chosen at random, what is the probability:
a) exactly 2 are defective?


b) At least 1 is defective?
 


Hi.

Do you know anything about this process, yet? I mean, are you able to make a start?

Please show your work, so far.

If you do not understand the question, or you're stuck on one or more concepts, then please ask a question.

Providing some background information allows people to determine how and where to begin helping you.

 
You can only use combinations like that if you know how many you're choosing from. Like, out of 10 different cards, how many ways are there to choose two of them. That's not what this problem is asking. Besides, you don't need to know how many total products the factory produces.

What you know is that EACH product has a 5 percent chance of being defective. So, when you pick the first one, there's a 5 percent chance that it's defective. Then, when you pick the second one, there's also a 5 percent chance that it's defective. Let's stop there and see what we've got.

A) Chance that two are defective, out of two that I've picked: rule of multiplication.
B) Chance that exactly one of the two I've picked is defective: also the rule of multiplication, but you have to use the probability that the first one is defective, and the second one is not defective.

Can you proceed with that hint? And then, take it up to choosing 10. You'll start to notice a pattern that will help after three or four, probably.
 
Suppose that 5% of the items produced by a factory are defective. If 10 items are chosen at random, what is the probability:


a) exactly 2 are defective?

Binomial probability. \(\displaystyle \binom n k \cdot p^{k}\cdot (1-p)^{n-k}\)

where n=10, k=2 and p=.05

Continue?.


b) At least 1 is defective?

When you see 'at least 1', find the probability of none and subtract from 1.

Use the same method as above only with k=0, then subtract that result from 1.
 
Top