Probability problem...

slickrick

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Mar 10, 2006
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I have a mid-term coming up on Monday and I am having trouble answering these two questions. I dont understand if I have to use Baes Law or not, so I am a bit confused. If anyone can help, even on only one og the questions, it would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!

1. A restaurant manager classified customers as well dressed, moderately dressed, or poorly dressed, and find 50%, 40%, and 10% respectively of all customers fall into these categories. The manager found that wine was ordered by 70% of the well dressed, by 50% the moderately dressed, and by 30% of the poorly dressed customers. If wine is ordered, what is the probability that the person ordering was well dressed?

2. A home owner has installed a new energy-efficient furnace. It is estimated that, over a year, the new furnace will reduce energy cost by an amount that can be regarded as a random variable with mean $200 and standard deviation $60. Stating the assumptions you need to make, find the mean and standard deviation of the total energy cost reductions over a period of 5 years.
 
1. Yes, this is a Bayes problem.
2. Consider the sum of 5 such random variables.
 
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