In Desperate Need of Discrete Help Please

sapientiam

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Calculate the probability that a bridge hand contains:

1. At least one black card.
2. More black cards than red cards
3. a 3-3-3-4 distribution (that is, at least 3 cards of each suit)
 
Hello, sapientiam!

Bridge-hand problems have HUGE numbders.
Do they expect you to crank out the exact answers? . . . ack!

Calculate the probability that a bridge hand contains:

1. At least one black card.
2. More black cards than red cards
3. a 3-3-3-4 distribution (that is, at least 3 cards of each suit)
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

First, there are \(\displaystyle C(52,13)\,=\,\frac{52!}{(13!)(39!)}\) possible bridge hands.
. . That is the denominator \(\displaystyle (D)\) for all answers.


(1) The opposite of "at least one Black" is "no Blacks" or "all Reds".

To get all Reds, there are: \(\displaystyle \,C(26,13)\) ways.

. . Hence: \(\displaystyle P(\text{all Reds})\:=\:\frac{C(26,13)}{D}\)

. . Therefore: \(\displaystyle \,P(\text{at least 1 Black})\;=\;1 \,-\,\frac{C(26,13)}{D}\)

~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

(2) "More Blacks than Reds" . . . a long tedious problem!

We must work out these numbers:

. . \(\displaystyle \;7B,\,6R\;=\;C(26,7)\cdot C(26,6)\)
. . \(\displaystyle \;8B,\,5R\;=\;C(26,8)\cdot C(26,5)\)
. . \(\displaystyle \;9B,\,4R\;=\;C(26,9)\cdot C(26,4)\)
. . \(\displaystyle 10B,\,3R\;=\;C(26,10)\cdot C(26,3)\)
. . \(\displaystyle 11B,\,2R\;=\;C(26,11,\cdot C(26,2)\)
. . \(\displaystyle 12B\,1R\;=\;C(26,12)\cdot C(26,1)\)
. . \(\displaystyle 13B,\,0R\;=\;C(26,13)\cdot C(26,0)\)

. . add them up and divide by \(\displaystyle D\).


But, of course, it's a trick question, isn't it?

Exactly HALF the hands will have more Blacks than Reds,
. . the other half will have more Reds than Blacks.

Ha! . . . \(\displaystyle P(\text{more Blacks})\,=\,\frac{1}{2}\)

~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

(3) A 3-3-3-4 distribution of suits.

There are 4 choices for the suit of the set-of-four.

There are \(\displaystyle C(13,4)\) ways to get the set-of-four.

There are \(\displaystyle C(13,3)\) ways to get the first set-of-three.
There are \(\displaystyle C(13,3)\) ways to get the next set-of-three.
There are \(\displaystyle C(13,3)\) ways to get the last set-of-three.

There are: \(\displaystyle \,4\,\times\,C(13,4)\,\times\,[C(13,3)]^3\) ways to get the distribution.

. . then divide by \(\displaystyle D\).
 
BTW, what does it mean when a number has ! at the end? I saw that in some of my Calculus notes and it was just used in this post. I never knew what it meant.
 
Even though I'm "retired", ! means factorial, so 3! = 3*2*1. You just take the number in front of the "!", and keep subtracting 1 from the number and then multiply. Again, 8! = 8*7*6*5*4*3*2*1
 
AHA! I understand that, thanks!...uhm, but wouldn't it be pointless to have say 2!? because that would just be 2 time 1, right? which is just 2 in the end...
 
Lizzie said:
how? It doesn't make sense to me...
The rule that 0! = 1 can be taken as one of those "because doing it that way makes everything else work out right" sorts of things. :wink: :D

Eliz.
 
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