Hello everyone... I hope to completely solve this problem
This shall take a while (hopefully I can help)
OK we first have established that: dw/dt= (m-n-kw)w
and for intensive purposes I will use these values (as they have been previously mentioned) :
m= 0.1 n= 0.06 (Therefore we can say that m-n = 0.04)
K = 0.00005
INITIAL NUMBER OF WOMBATS = 200
From this new information we can expand dw/dt= (m-n-kw)w
This yields: dw/dt = 0.04w - 0.00005w^2
Now we can re-write this as dw/dt = w/25 - w^2/20000
(as 1/25 is the same as 0.04 and 1/20000 is the same as 0.00005)
So from this we are faced with the problem that dw/dt is in terms of w NOT IN TERMS OF t - Which is what it would need to be to be able to properly differentiate it.
No problem.
instead we use subtraction of fractions with different bases (learnt in year 7)
To get (after simplified) dw/dt= (800w-w^2)/20000
now using magic (aka flipping both fractions)
we can say that dt/dw = 20000 / (800w-w^2) (NOTE Dt/Dw!!!)
NOW we can differentiate by taking out the 20000
we can now safly say:
t = ∫[20000/(800w-w^2)]dw (DONT FORGET + C !!!)
THIS IS QUITE HARD but if you break down the 20000/(800w-w^2) using PARTIAL FRACTIONS you get 25/(w-800) - 25/w
Therefore:
t = -25*∫[(1/(w-800)) - 1/w
t = -25*[log(e)(|w-800|) - log(e)(|w|)]
(NOTE THE ABSOLUTE VALUE FUNCTIONS!!!! THEY ARE EXTREMELY IMPORTANT!!!)
t = -25Log(e)[ |w-800| / |w|] + C (simplified version of the above using log laws)
so substituting t = 0 and w = 200 we can find that C = 25log(e)(3)
Therefore t =-25Log(e)[ |w-800| / |w|] + 25log(e)(3)
You can just use this formula to find out predicted values
in which case when t = 10 you get TWO ANSWERS (you have to interpret them)
Taking note of the absolute functions you get TWO equations in terms of w (really quite hard to re-arrange) :
W = [800e^(t/25)]/[e^(t/25)-3]
and
W = [800e^(t/25)]/[e^(t/25)+3] (THIS IS THE CORRECT ONE)
you decipher that the second is correct by observing the graph - If you aren't doing extremely advanced maths I recommend that you use a calculator - One of the graphs will be negative for all W values THIS IS OBVIOUSLY NOT THE RIGHT ONE !! as you cannot have a negative population.
W = [800e^(t/25)]/[e^(t/25)+3]
NOW USING THIS ONE WE CAN SUBSTITUTE VALUES IN!!!
for example:
t = 10 yields w ≈ 265.96 (ROUND DOWN to 265!!)
t = 100 yields w ≈ 758.332 (ROUND DOWN to 758!!!)
Well that was indeed a marathon. Thank you for the question. I enjoyed it.
Peace out.