I have a problem I am trying to figure out how to work out. Not a homework problem or anything, just a random thought I can't figure out how to solve. I am trying to find an equation that would answer questions about the electoral college. Specifically, what is the percent chance that a particular state would still be "in play" after all other states are tallied. For a specific example, say I live in Delaware, and my state gets 3 EC votes. After all of the other states are added up for red or blue respectively adding for red and subtracting for blue or vise versa, (55-38-25+18...etc), how many combinations would yield a result that is within +/-3 votes of 0? (Or each side being within 3 votes of 270 if they are added separately). How many possible combinations of EC votes would leave Delaware in play at the end? Thanks for and guidance on this!
Electoral college votes and probabilities
- Thread starter tberry668
- Start date