Conditional Probability

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Aladdin

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Good Morning Free Math Help Forum !!

Question # 1)
If P(A) = 0.8 , P(B/A)= 0.3 and P(B/A(Bar))=0.2 then P(A) = ??
The Respnses are : 0.5 or 0.28 or 0.24 .

Question # 2)
The coefficient of (x^5)(y^2) in the expanding of (2x - 3y)^7 is :
The Respnses are : 6048 or (Combination 7)^2(2^5) or (Combination 7)^2(3^2)
Sorry I don't know how to type the symbol of combination correct.

My Work ::

Q1) P(B/A) = P(BnA)/P(A) --> P(BnA) = (0.8)(0.3) = 0.24

P(A(bar)) = 1 - P(A) = 0.2 --> P(BnA(bar) = 0.2*0.2 = 0.4

P(B) = P(BnA) + P(BnA(bar) !!
P(B0 = 0.64 which doesn't exist in the respnses ::

Q2) Binomial Theorem :
(C7^p)(a^(7-p))(b^p)

By comparison I got 7- p = 5 , p = 2
So the coefficient is C7^2
Which also dosn't exist !!

Thanks in advance.
Aladdin
 
Coefficient of \(\displaystyle x^{5}y^{2}\) in the expansion of \(\displaystyle (2x-3y)^{7}\)

The binomial expansion has a pattern:

\(\displaystyle (a+b)^{7}=\binom{7}{0}a^{7}+\binom{7}{1}a^{6}b+\binom{7}{2}a^{5}b^{2}+....................+\binom{7}{7}b^{7}\)

Plug in \(\displaystyle a=2x \;\ b=-3y\)

Then, the term we are looking for becomes:

\(\displaystyle (2x)^{5}(-3y)^{2}=288x^{5}y^{2}\)

But note the coefficient is \(\displaystyle \binom{7}{2}=21\)

So, we get \(\displaystyle \fbox{6048}x^{5}y^{2}\)


For the first one, you have P(A)=.8 and then P(A)=?. I assume there is a typo?.
 
Hello, Aladdin!

As galactus pointed out, there is a typo in #1 . . .

\(\displaystyle (1) \;\text{Given: }\;P(A) \,=\, 0.8,\;\; P(B|A)\,=\, 0.3,\;\;P(B|A')\,=\,0.2\)

. . .\(\displaystyle \text{Find: }\:p(B)\)

\(\displaystyle \text{The responses are: }\;(a)\;0.5\quad (b)\;0.28\quad (c)\;0.24\)
Click to expand...

\(\displaystyle \text{We are given: }\:p(A) \,=\,0.8 \quad\Rightarrow\quad P(A') \,=\,0.2\)

\(\displaystyle \text{We will use Bayes' Theorem repeatedly.}\)


\(\displaystyle \text{We have: }\:p(B|A) \:=\:0.3 \quad\Rightarrow\quad \frac{P(B \wedge A)}{P(A)} \:=\:0.3 \quad\Rightarrow\quad \frac{P(B \wedge A)}{0.8} \:=\:0.3 \quad\Rightarrow\quad P(B\;\wedge\;A) \:=\:0.24\)

\(\displaystyle \text{We have: }\:p(B|A') \:=\:0.2 \quad\Rightarrow\quad \frac{P(B \wedge A')}{P(A')} \:=\:0.2 \quad\Rightarrow\quad \frac{P(B \wedge A')}{0.2} \:=\:0.2 \quad\Rightarrow\quad P(B\;\wedge\;A') \:=\:0.04\)


\(\displaystyle \text{Therefore: }\:p(B) \;=\;P(B \wedge A) + P(B \wedge A') \;=\;0.24 + 0.04 \;=\;\boxed{0.28}\)

 
Thanks for the help guys : :

I really appreciate it.

0.2*0.2 = 0.04 :wink:
 
if a and b are mutually exclusive events and p(avb)not equall to zero,prove that p(a/a union b)=p(a)/p(a)+p(b)
 
Hello, singaravelu!

\(\displaystyle \text{if }a\text{ and }b\text{ are mutually exclusive events, and }P(a\cup b)\,\neq\,0\)

. . \(\displaystyle \text{prove that: }\;P(a\,|\,a \cup b) \:=\:\frac{P(a)}{P(a)+P(b)}\)
Click to expand...

\(\displaystyle \text{Bayes' Theorem: }\;P(a\,|\,a\cup b) \;=\;\frac{P(a \cap (a\cup b))}{P(a\cup b)}\;\;[1]\)


\(\displaystyle \text{The numerator is: }\:p(a \cap (a \cup b)) \:=\:p(a)\)

\(\displaystyle \text{The denominator is: }\:p(a \cup b) \:=\:p(a) + P(b)\)


\(\displaystyle \text{Substitute into [1]: }\;P(a\,|\,a\cup b) \;=\;\frac{P(a)}{P(a)+P(b)}\)

 
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